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Rubber embarrassed way unfinished V type inversion is difficult to
Rubber this round of crash, one not careful has time-consuming four years, even already below the market had been "indulge in elaborating on the cost of support", everyone in the questions, "the big bear market ends" is close already end, glue price bottom where on earth? Unfortunately, many analysts believe that, in 2015 the global rubber industry will still face the "excess supply, demand" dilemma, glue price probably rates running low, difficult to reproduce the "type V" reversal of the miracle. This allows the latex tube, silicone tube, rubber tube industry giants to worry.
Fortunately, in the recent three years, the global natural rubber while maintaining overall pattern of supply exceeding demand, but excess amount is presented annually narrowing trend. Public information display, in 2015, the global natural rubber supply excess capacity will atrophy. IRSG is expected in 2015, the global natural rubber supply surplus will decline to 202000 tons, and 371000 tons in 2014, 650000 tons in 2013.
Unfortunately, at present, the downstream demand global rubber market will continue to slump. Hu Huaqian pointed out that, in 2015, "domestic trouble and foreign invasion" will further exacerbate overcapacity pattern China tire industry.
Chen Dong recommends that investors should seize the emergencies take trade with the trend, a short position is should bargain jiancang. Because the cost benefit factors that continue to short glue price risk than the decline. The operation to take the shock box idea, pay attention to position control, set a good stop. Based on the analysis of shock of the city, take the mainstream mode of hedge arbitrage operation remained profitable. The inner and outer rubber hedge arbitrage, high maneuverability, it is worth reference for investors.
This article from the Shenzhen City Qiyu Silicone Rubber Co., Ltd.: http://www.szhcty.com/news_v.asp? Id=223
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