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Shenzhen Qiyu reported: the bad condition of natural rubber gradually turn for the better
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Hainan rubber farmers abandoned cut, Vietnam rubber farmers cut down trees, the direct reason behind this is rubber prices low. But find by hard and thorough search, or because the pile up in excess of requirement, especially in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia and other places a few years ago on plastic agricultural area is too large, resulting in yield on the release, while demand growth can not keep up. However, with the capacity to "peak" in the past, inventory levels continue to decline, and the continuous increase in the main producing countries, production and other Shouchu background and silicone tube industry, rubber market equilibrium of supply and demand is expected to repair table.
Rubber production production fell
According to the Natural Rubber Producers Association (ANRPC) released the latest monthly report showed, accounted for the main produce rubber Nations Global Rubber Yield in 2014 90% rubber yield decrease compared to the same period 3%, to 10835000 tons, due to low force rubber farmers planting economic crops.
The International Rubber Research Organization (IRSG) in the global rubber industry outlook 2014 December release (WRIO) report is expected in 2015, global rubber demand will grow 1.8%, growth in 2016 will reach 4.1%. This means 2015 rubber demand will reach 29100000 tons, 30300000 tons in 2016.
Demand situation is stable
In 2014, the global economic slowdown, and the regional development is very uneven, plus geopolitical conflicts, these factors make the confidence of investors hit.
Analysts pointed out that, at present, large economy in the world only USA situation more optimistic, but the Fed's move to end of QE market to add a lot of uncertainty, if USA monetary policy continued to tighten, not only the recovery may be affected, and the possibility of global commodities price pressure greater.
The industry is expected, in the current supply and demand situation, the first quarter of 2015, due to the world in a stop cut period, is expected to rebound in the price trend mainly; the two or three quarter, rubber production into the open cut period, supply growth, the overall trend of prices or the following behavior main; the fourth quarter is the traditional tire enterprise stock season, is expected to price will go stabilized.
This article from the Shenzhen City Qiyu Silicone Rubber Co., Ltd.: http://www.szhcty.com/news_v.asp? Id=285
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