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Shenzhen Qiyu reports: yesterday by the impact of economic weakness, temporary natural rubber shock weakening
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Pipe the majority of provinces and cities a new year fiscal budget is still under development, but the increase in the pressure of the economic growth, fiscal revenue is expected to slow down the case, regulate the local debt financing behavior, the introduction of social capital to participate in the construction of public facilities and services has become around the 2015 fiscal work plan "standard".
Fiscal policy at present many provinces city focused, most area is great importance to promoting "along the way" construction and the reform of state-owned enterprises, some areas to formulate specific fiscal support policies, cultivate new economic growth points; at the same time, the PPP mode by the local high attention, the social capital to participate in infrastructure investment is expected to increase the chance of.
Combined dredge control debt risk
One is the local debt repayment peak not, one side is the new investment and financing demand and continue to follow up. From at present already held a financial work meeting of the provinces and cities, the local debt blocked sparse, preventing debt risk has become the focus of many provinces and cities "object of attention".
On Wednesday, the Fed will hold two days of 2015, the first meeting of the monetary policy. The meeting has caused widespread concern and discussion, in and out of the market the reason is that, compared to the interest rate possibility itself, global monetary policy makers and investors are more concerned about the Federal Reserve will be in this year "first meeting" after set out how "tone", and that in order to make the mechanism in the 2015 monetary policy outlook preliminary judgment.
Low inflation is getting more and more important
In the monetary policy meeting held before the weekend, the Fed people continue to strictly "silenced" tacit understanding -- not just the interest rate process issues in public debate. But Davos world economic forum held, but objectively provides a platform for different views on this issue.
America Secretary Summers said 23 days, the Fed should not fight the interest rate and inflation, the road is very long, because "inflation data of global economic weakness and disappointing will test the 2015 interest rate determination".
Data shows, the national personal consumption expenditure price index to measure the real level of inflation (PCE) rose by 1.2% in the year to November annual data, for 31 consecutive months below the Fed's inflation target of 2%. In addition, the national average wage fell in December also show that, the wages of the workers did not benefit from a "healthier" employment market.
Accordingly, Summers points out, as long as USA still exists low inflation pressure, it should not take measures to raise interest rates. Goldman Sachs Group CEO Cohen chimed in: "American economy is growing, this is beyond all dispute facts; what I worry about is, American in the world so of the environment of interest rate increases ability."
In a recent speech by Fed officials also have a negative argument once repeatedly to the American economy. San Francisco Fed chairman Williams says, because the economy USA outside of the overall economic growth slowed down, he will be reduced to USA economic expectations. The Atlanta Fed President Lockhart said, interest in the issue, he supported the "cautious" attitude, may be vital inflation data "".
Considering the above two fed "local officials" is the 2015 voting USA Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members, the fed in a low inflation environment of interest rate prospects unspeakable uncertain.
The markets expect new clues
Not everyone thinks the Fed will be deferred rate hike. Also spoke at the world economic forum on the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Lagarde said, the Fed has completely might raise interest rates in the middle of this year. She further said, the Fed is ready to raise interest rates is good news; this will prove that, when the Fed tightening monetary policy, the European central bank implemented quantitative easing (QE) policy role in promoting the development of economy, there are also.
The major research institutions and the media have also stood in the US Federal Reserve in the years of interest rate position. Standard Pool Co released 23 days America economic outlook report, expected the Fed is likely to raise interest rates for the first time in June this year, by the end of this year, USA federal benchmark interest rate will be increased to 1.25%. The report thinks, the Federal Reserve interest rate hike this year the pace will be different from the last interest rate hike cycle, it may not take every 25 BP rhythm, and tend to bigger interest rate mode. But the interest rate will depend upon the rate at which USA economic recovery will continue to strengthen.
"Wall Street daily" also think that on the 23 day, the Fed is expected to begin "to raise interest rates later this year".
Under this background, global monetary policy makers and investors eager to from the Federal Reserve this week on traces a glimpse of interest rate meeting statement about the mechanism of the years of interest rate possibility and related processes.
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This article from the Shenzhen City Qiyu Silicone Rubber Co., Ltd.: http://www.szhcty.com/news_v.asp? Id=312
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