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Impact of El Nino on natural rubber prices in China
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Currently, the El Nino event, whether active or from the impact of the larger. And according to the El Nino on the market over the years
The impact of the general will lead to the natural rubber market up to run. Therefore, the operation in general or partial operation, bargain
Can be considered more than a single line layout, but taking into account the short-term impact of the El Nino phenomenon is limited, short-term, converting out smooth trend line
The situation, pay attention to the timely stop.
El Nino will generally lead to South America and rainy, while the drought in southern Asia, specifically, the general will lead to Southeast Asia, India, Australia
Drought, drought in North China, and drought in northern Brazil, South Central and southern china. But in Southeast Asia, especially in Indonesia, Thailand and other countries
There is still obvious rainfall, and rainfall is larger, but South America and other countries have not appeared in the El Nino period should appear obvious precipitation.
From China's point of view, Hainan is the main rubber production, the recent and indeed detected in the Hainan region has a more obvious drought situation.
As of May 31, 2015, Hainan Province, the province's average rainfall of 256.3 mm, compared with the same period in the same period the average reduction of 35.3%. Sustained high
Temperature was caused by the drought seedlings in the rubber can not be planted and some small seedling dry dead; a large area of the part of the rubber tree leaves, fallen,
Cut off the tree and cut it off. According to statistics, the sea of plastic group under the 9 subsidiaries totaling 400000 acres of rubber plantation cutting affected hugh. China's goal
The rubber plantation area is 1148000 hectares, so the overall point of view, the current disaster area of about 2.3% of the total planting area.
. Temporary impact range is relatively limited.
In addition, from the production data statistics, according to the ANRPC data statistics, 1-5 months of this year, the total output of 4078000 tons of rubber, compared with
Last year fell by 1.16%, of which 1670000 tons of output, an increase of 19.7%, Indonesia's output 1331000 tons, an essentially flat,
China's output 200000 tons, an increase of 255000, Vietnam's output 3.1% tons, down 1.9%. Overall, the current overall output
There is a slight decline, but the impact of the El Nino is still not significant enough.
This paper is from Shenzhen,, id=479?
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