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Trend analysis of natural rubber and synthetic rubber in November 2015
Natural rubber trend analysis: the macro economy temporarily improved pressure on natural rubber, also upstream positive supply season and downstream transmission
Demand is not busy season is not prosperous also caused a fundamental contradiction intensified, to the inventory pressure, the outlook is still worrying. Enter November,
Supply and demand pressures in the application of the impact of the same time, the 1511 contract delivery will also affect the formation of the market will remain low, there is a
Downlink space.
Trend analysis of synthetic rubber:
(1) butadiene: butadiene has risen since mid October, but the end of the month has turned down. Late because of the demand of the reasons for it
Still there is a downside, but taking into account the support of crude oil and other aspects, the actual downlink space is limited.
(2) supply: November, although some devices will resume operation, but relatively speaking, the synthetic rubber plant parking and maintenance
But more. Butadiene rubber, jade Qi Xiang and its plans to restart the butadiene rubber plant, but has no plans to restart Gaoqiao Petrochemical
Row, in addition to the Maoming Petrochemical will also be in the parking overhaul 20 days. Styrene butadiene rubber, SBR and Tianjin land port yankin no driving device
The plan, while Huizhou and Hangzhou Zhechen Bridgestone will be in the 11 month overhaul. Overall, the November spot of butadiene rubber
Supply pressure is not small, the supply of styrene butadiene rubber because of the change in plant parking and the discharge of the change is expected to reduce.
(3) demand: statistical data show that in September 2015 the car sales were completed 1894300 and 2024800, the chain
Respectively, 20.6% and 21.6%, respectively, but the output fell by 5.6%. At the same time, in September the tire production was 77581000, compared to the same period
Fall 4.9%. The data is not optimistic, Kim Gu has lost ten, silver insurance. October, although the increase in the rate of tire enterprises,
But failed to meet the actual feedback to the demand side, the overall poor.
In short, in November, the supply will still put pressure on early, while weak and rubber butadiene downward will play.
Ring, and the other to take into account the increase in the mentality of the industry and the need to be cautious, in the early days of synthetic rubber are down space. But with
A Haitian bad speculation collapse and synthetic supply pressure reducing, synthetic rubber in late is expected to gradually stabilized, and does not rule out slightly anti
The possibility of playing.
This paper is from Shenzhen,, id=579?
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TAG: natural rubber synthetic rubber
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